Festival Trends – 2012…..

Fancy trying a new way of picking horses that doesn’t rely on form, is great fun, and highlighted all these big priced winners last year?…….

Grand Annual: Oiseau De Nuit 40/1 (60/1 Betfair S.P.)
Aintree Handicap Hurdle:
Battle Group 16/1
3yo Handicap (Epsom):
Fanunalter 16/1
Topham Chase (Aintree):
Always Waining 14/1
Supreme Novices Hurdle:
Al Ferof 10/1
Lingfield Derby Trial:
Dordogne 10/1
Diomed Stakes (Epsom):
Charles Camoin 10/1

Plus winners of – The King George Chase, Champion Hurdle, Stayers Hurdle, Gold Cup, Chester Cup, The Craven, Irish 1000 & 2000 Guineas, Lockinge, French 1000 Guineas………

Dear Fellow Bettor,

My name is Gavin Priestley and I write the Nag-Nag-Nag Blog as well as backing horses for a living.

I use trends analysis to make my selections AND YES, I really did tip all of those big priced winners in my trends guides last year.

We had such an amazing start to the year with Cheltenham, Aintree and Epsom all providing big priced winners it was always going to be tough to match those results for the rest of the year. And so it turned out with the second half of 2011 not quite living up to the high standards we had set ourselves in those earlier Festival meetings. That’s not to say we didn’t tip winners, because we tipped loads of them!, we just couldn’t find that one big priced winner that our service has gained a reputation for providing.

But despite all that we still finished the year well in profit (+49.5pts) and it meant that our subscribers were still ‘quids in’. Not bad going when you consider we tipped over 250 horses, covered well over 50 meetings and produced more than 500 pages of trends based analysis in our guides.

And if you’re thinking that last year must have been a fluke, well I can tell you that throughout 2010 I tipped 54 winners from 250 races and showed an enormous profit of 295pts!! That was £2950 clear profit for £10 stakes or £29,500 to £100 bets……

(Click on the Results Tab at the top of this page to see every horse I’ve tipped over the last 2 years – winners and losers).

So what is trends analysis?

Trends analysis, or trends betting, is an exciting way of picking winners that doesn’t involve hours of studying form lines or require an in depth knowledge of speed-ratings and weight for age tables or any other complex race analysis.

No, trends betting is simply the art of studying past results for the big races (going back 10-20 years) to identify certain trends and patterns to build a profile of a typical winner. Once you have this data you can apply it to all the runners in the field to try and find ‘The Likeliest Trends Winner’.

It’s fun, it’s easy and it gets great results too!

Cheltenham Festival

I’ve successfully used race trends as part of my betting portfolio for over 10 years now but my subscription service only started with the Cheltenham Festival Trends Guide in 2009. I highlighted many winners throughout the meeting but there was one particular race that cemented my position as one of the best betting trends analysts in the country when I made a bold statement about my winning selection in the Freddie Williams Handicap Chase run on the Thursday of the Festival. Here’s what I told all of my customers the night before the race…

‘We here at Nag3 HQ strongly fancy Something Wells today in the 4.00. Ladbrokes go 33/1 about the Venetia Williams trained 8-y-o and he is recommended as our best handicap each way bet of the meeting.’

Have you ever been that confident about a 33/1 outsider running in a Cheltenham Festival Handicap? I doubt it.

But that was back in 2009. So how have we done since?

Well, at last years Cheltenham Festival we tipped a few winners during the week (including the Gold Cup winner Long Run) but it wasn’t until the very last race of the meeting that our legendary service gave us the result we were all looking for. The trainer didn’t fancy it, the owner didn’t fancy it, the bookies certainly didn’t fancy it and only a small number of punters wanted to back it!

But we here at Festival Trends were very confident of a big run from Oiseau De Nuit and having made it our top rated horse in the race we backed it at 40/1 and at odds of over 60/1 on Betfair. The rest as they say was history as Oiseau De Nuit stormed to victory to give our customers a great way to end the meeting and send our email inbox into meltdown….

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thanks for that top rated huge priced winner yesterday, and you rated Zemsky 2nd top rated your info is absolutely fantastic, I think you offer a fantastic service, love all the trend info. thank you…..dee

I can’t believe it! I got Oiseau de Nuit at 40/1 which is the biggest winner I’ve ever had. Keep up the good work…..CT

Truly amazing. Where do you find all these winners?….yours in awe, DD

 Thank You, Thank You, Thank You! 40/1!!! Incredible…..FS

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Real readers winning real money.

The big priced winners keep coming

Many thought (again!) that result would be a flash in the pan, a fluke, but in our Aintree Festival Guide available two weeks later we carried on where we left off by tipping 14/1 winner Always Waining, 16/1 winner Battle Group, 6/1 Quito De La Roque, Big Bucks and Finians Rainbow all from one meeting.

I think you’ll agree that is great tipping. Well, our readers certainly thought so…..

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Hey Gavin….Congrats on all the winners…you’re on a hotstreak no doubt…Mike

Hi Gavin and Gary, bloody marvellous tipping boyo’s…..Bryn

Another fantastic result…..Thank you Gavin….Hugh

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Real readers winning even more real money!

From Aintree we had many more successes including Newmarket (Craven winner), Newbury (7/1 John Porter winner), Sandown (Mile winner), Newmarket (2000 Guineas winner), Punchestown (11/2 winner), Chester (11/2 Chester Cup winner), Ascot (15/2 winner), Lingfield (10/1 Derby trial winner), York (15/2 winner), Newbury (Lockinge winner), Longchamps (1000 Guineas winner), Curragh (1000 & 2000 Guineas winners), Sandown evening meeting (50/1 second advised ew) which took us up to the Derby meeting at Epsom in June……

The two day meeting didn’t get off to the best of starts when we chose the wrong ones from our shortlist in more than one race including the Coronation Cup where we had a straight choice to make between the winner and our final selection. Just one winner from 7 races wasn’t the best day we’ve ever had.

Nevermind, you can’t win them all! We’ve never claimed that all our selections will win. That’s just impossible.

We simply dusted ourselves down and applied our trends to the races on Saturday knowing that over the long term we do get the results that produce decent profits. We needn’t have worried though as we gave out 10/1 winner Charles Camion as a ‘very strong trends horse’ as well as making him top rated, 16/1 winner Funanlter and 13/2 sprint winner Captain Dunne. After those 3 big priced winners had come in we didn’t feel too deflated when our Derby selection ran down the field. As I said before, you can’t win them all!

Our guarantee to you

Now, before we go any further, I just need to add a quick reality check: I hope you’ll understand that I obviously can’t guarantee that we’ll be able to repeat our amazing feats and supply a 40/1 winner at every meeting we cover.

But what I can absolutely guarantee is that the self-same detailed race analysis that provided all of those past winners will be applied to every race covered in our Race Trends Guides.

If you’re anything like me, you love looking through the ‘numbers’: those trends that highlight winning profiles in a way that cold form study cannot do.

But the trends are just the tip of the iceberg with this guide. Although I’m slightly biased, I firmly believe these are the best guides of their kind on the ‘net.

In fact don’t take my word for it, I’ll let one of our many happy subscribers tell you what they think about our service…..

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“ Hi Gavin
 
Some great trend picks again and another profitable weekend.
 
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again; It’s been great being part of your service and seeing regular losses on my part turned into regular profits by your hard work and trends analysis. I can’t remember a long losing run for the service, which you would expect from time from time, but I sure as hell remember some great winning picks and they often come in clusters, as recently.
 
I had a bad April and first half of May, so this has now redressed the balance and it’s a good feeling knowing that your hobby can not just pay for itself (which would be fine by me) but actually make you a profit……

….. As you can probably tell I’m delighted and having been with you for three or four years, shows that you have delivered over a long period of time. Please keep it up and accept my grateful thanks.” ….DWC

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After such a wonderful couple of years I’d like to make you a special offer. Introducing….

The Festival Trends Year Ticket Offer…

For the next 12 months we’ll be following a similar schedule to last year and covering all the major races and meetings throughout both the National Hunt and Flat Seasons. It’s going to be busy right from the word go with the Cheltenham Festival just around the corner. We’ll be covering all 26 races in our 150 page guide before moving on to Doncaster for the start of the flat then back over the jumps for Aintree and the Grand National. Then it’s straight on to Chester, the Guineas trials, Punchestown, Ayr and back to Newmarket for the Guineas to round off our Spring campaign. As the summer starts we head to Epsom for the Derby, Royal Ascot a couple of weeks later then hit full stride with Sandown for the Eclipse, Newmarket’s July meeting, Ascot’s King George, Glorious Goodwood, The York Ebor meeting, Ascot’s Champions Day, Cambridgeshire, Cesarewitch, the Doncaster St Leger all featuring in an action packed few months. If that wasn’t enough there’s always the Autumn schedule where we head off around the world for the Arc, Breeders Cup and Melbourne Cup before coming back home for Cheltenham, Newbury and Kempton over the jumps…..

Phew! As I said, a busy time ahead!

Now normally our Season Ticket will cost you anything up to £149 but so confident am I in our Trends Guides, and our current form, I’m going to do my best Don Corleone impression and ’make you an offer you can’t refuse!’

If you purchase our YEAR SEASON TICKET before March 1st I’ll start by reducing the cost to just £99.95. That’s a saving of £50 and makes it the cheapest trends service on the web by far. I’ll then add on a FREE copy of my new trends book ‘The 30 Top Trends Races for 2012′ which is due out in February and will sell for £14.95. You’ll get that sent in the post straight to your door and it’s yours to keep at no extra charge. PLUS, if that’s still not enough, all customers who have subscribed to the Year Ticket before 1st March will be entitled to an equal share in any returns from our traditional antepost bet (4 horses in a £10ew Lucky 15) on the Cheltenham races.

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CLICK TO BUY HERE

So, what do I get for my money?…….

For just that one single payment of £99.95 you will receive EVERY single trends guide we produce during 2012.

Nothing else to pay & no recurring subscriptions GUARANTEED!

That’s over 50 meetings and over 250 races covered in the next 12 months! You’ll get them all, every single one of them….

And for every race covered by the Trends Guides you will get the following information;

- Previous race trends
- Trainer tables
- Pace analysis
- Key race trial analysis
- Average age and weight of past winners
- Horse profiles of the leading contenders

and…

- Our exclusive Nag Ratings

all laid out in easy to read sections and tables. All the information is here to help you select the most likely winner based on past results

BUT

if you don’t fancy doing the work yourself we also apply the trends for you, to give what we think is the Most Likely Trends Winner. Meaning if you don’t want to do any work yourself, you don’t have to!

But that’s still not all…..

Everybody who secures a 2012 Membership will also receive FREE unlimited access to the Exclusive VIP Members’ Area.

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Where all VIP Members enjoy:

- Free Updates on the latest runners and riders
- Daily Updates throughout the relevant meeting

These extensive guides contain all the ammunition that you need to take on the bookies and whether you’re a novice punter or a seasoned betting veteran, these guides have something for you.

Bearing in mind the massive amount of man hours that go into producing these guides, and the enormous number crunching task we undertake on your behalf, I think you’ll agree that a price of £99.95 is more than reasonable. In fact, that’s nowhere near what you’ll pay for most of the Festival previews out there, even though they’re not nearly as exhaustive in their content.

So you get all 50+ guides PLUS exclusive Private Members’ access to the VIP Club, for the bargain price of just…

£99.95

That’s less than 50p per race! (Each race takes me over eight hours to pull all the information together)

To recap then, you get all of our 2012 Guides PLUS unlimited free updates via the exclusive password-protected members’ area, for the one time recession-proof price of just £99.95 PLUS a copy of my new book delivered to your door PLUS a share in any winnings from our traditional ante-post bet.

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CLICK TO BUY HERE

I look forward to helping you make your betting fun, selective and above all PROFITABLE!

Gavin Priestley.